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17/07/2020 - What was he trying to do? Our (plausible) story behind Thomas Bayes's infamous theorem - Palestrante: Márcio A. Diniz (UFSCar)

Quando 17/07/2020
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Seminário Conjunto UFSCar/USP

Data e Horário: 17/07/2020 às 14h

Vídeo de Apresentação: https://drive.google.com/file/d/17ESHS255C-TiCbiSrMxN1k6AJSB-5aEV/view?usp=sharing

Arquivo com Apresentação:  20200717 - Apresentação Marcio Diniz.pdf 

Título: What was he trying to do? Our (plausible) story behind Thomas Bayes's infamous theorem

Palestrante: Márcio A. Diniz (UFSCar)

Resumo:

On December 22, 1763, John Canton, a physicist and school master, read a paper about probability before the Royal Society of London. The author was a clergyman that had died more than two years before, and the paper was found among his notes by a common friend, a Welsh minister named Richard Price. But how did this priest came up with those ideas of ``inverse probability''? Why he tried his hand on the problem? Those questions were our main motivations. Our (tentative) answers teach us important lessons even for modern scientists.

Autores:

Márcio A. Diniz (UFSCar) and David R. Bellhouse (Univ. of Western Ontario)

 

 

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