17/07/2020 - What was he trying to do? Our (plausible) story behind Thomas Bayes's infamous theorem - Palestrante: Márcio A. Diniz (UFSCar)
Seminário Conjunto UFSCar/USP
Data e Horário: 17/07/2020 às 14h
Vídeo de Apresentação: https://drive.google.com/file/d/17ESHS255C-TiCbiSrMxN1k6AJSB-5aEV/view?usp=sharing
Arquivo com Apresentação: 20200717 - Apresentação Marcio Diniz.pdf
Título: What was he trying to do? Our (plausible) story behind Thomas Bayes's infamous theorem
Palestrante: Márcio A. Diniz (UFSCar)
Resumo:
On December 22, 1763, John Canton, a physicist and school master, read a paper about probability before the Royal Society of London. The author was a clergyman that had died more than two years before, and the paper was found among his notes by a common friend, a Welsh minister named Richard Price. But how did this priest came up with those ideas of ``inverse probability''? Why he tried his hand on the problem? Those questions were our main motivations. Our (tentative) answers teach us important lessons even for modern scientists.
Autores:
Márcio A. Diniz (UFSCar) and David R. Bellhouse (Univ. of Western Ontario)