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29/09/2017 - A continuous spatio-temporal approach to estimate climate change - Palestante: Márcio Laurini (FEARP-USP)

Quando 29/09/2017
das 14h00 até 15h00
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Seminário Conjunto UFSCar/ICMC - 29/9/2017 (sexta-feira) – 14:00

Local: ICMC/USP, sala 4-005

Palestante: Márcio Laurini (FEARP/USP)

Título: A continuous spatio-temporal approach to estimate climate change

Resumo: We introduce a method for decomposition of trend, cycle and seasonal components in spatio-temporal models and apply it to investigate the existence of climate changes in temperature and rainfall series. The method incorporates critical features in the analysis of climatic problems - the importance of spatial heterogeneity, information from a large number of weather stations, and the presence of missing data. The spatial component is based on continuous projections of spatial covariance functions, allowing modeling the complex patterns of dependence observed in climatic data.

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